OK people Videos CARD MEMORY DOES NOT MATTER! if you had a 64 mb 9600XT it would, without a doubt, do just as well as One with 256mb's of memory.
You could run it on all low settings and be ok.(low res too)
The truth is your system is gona be outdated for almost any new game you want to get so i would strongly look into getting a whole new comp, before you upgrade anything you have.
Becsaue your at the point were you system can't utilize newer hardware to it potential, Even if you got a 9800XT you would still get bad FPS, Your hardware constraints of your memory Bandwidth(you only have pc-133 at the most) and CPU speed, would keep the 9800Xt from perfoming up to par
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